The Broncos head into Buffalo as 8.5-point underdogs in what looks like a clash of mismatched firepower. Over the past month, Denver has been no slouch offensively, averaging 27.33 points and 292.33 yards per game. But their Achilles’ heel remains a leaky defense allowing a brutal 396.33 yards and 25.67 points per contest. Against a Bills offense that’s been bulldozing opponents, this one feels like a steep climb for the visitors.
Buffalo, meanwhile, is playing on another level offensively, averaging a scorching 38.50 points per game over the last month with a staggering 419 yards per outing. Josh Allen has been surgical in the red zone, guiding the Bills to a 71.6% red zone success rate. Defensively, Buffalo’s been less stellar, allowing over 30 points per game during the same stretch, but Denver’s middling offense doesn’t inspire much confidence in exploiting those cracks with a rookie QB in frigid Buffalo.
Unless Denver’s defense can tighten up overnight—and the odds of that are slim—Buffalo should roll here. The leprechaun might have some fun pointing out the 62.5% red zone conversion rate Denver has allowed lately, which is just asking for trouble against a Bills squad thriving in high-leverage moments. A blowout feels more likely than not.